Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000102 0.000113 0.000124 0.000138 0.000153 0.000169 0.000188
2025-12-21 0.000086 0.000101 0.000117 0.000138 0.000162 0.000190 0.000224
2025-12-28 0.000074 0.000091 0.000111 0.000136 0.000169 0.000208 0.000258
2026-01-04 0.000066 0.000084 0.000107 0.000138 0.000179 0.000230 0.000300
2026-01-11 0.000059 0.000078 0.000104 0.000139 0.000186 0.000249 0.000339
2026-01-18 0.000053 0.000073 0.000099 0.000138 0.000192 0.000266 0.000376
2026-01-25 0.000048 0.000068 0.000096 0.000137 0.000198 0.000283 0.000415
2026-02-01 0.000044 0.000064 0.000093 0.000137 0.000204 0.000301 0.000456
2026-02-08 0.000040 0.000060 0.000089 0.000135 0.000206 0.000313 0.000490
2026-02-15 0.000037 0.000057 0.000086 0.000134 0.000210 0.000328 0.000528
2026-02-22 0.000035 0.000054 0.000085 0.000134 0.000216 0.000346 0.000573
2026-03-01 0.000032 0.000052 0.000082 0.000133 0.000219 0.000359 0.000611
2026-03-08 0.000030 0.000050 0.000081 0.000134 0.000227 0.000382 0.000668
2026-03-15 0.000029 0.000048 0.000079 0.000135 0.000233 0.000402 0.000723
2026-03-22 0.000027 0.000045 0.000077 0.000134 0.000236 0.000418 0.000772
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000044 0.000076 0.000135 0.000245 0.000444 0.000842
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000042 0.000075 0.000136 0.000251 0.000466 0.000905
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000041 0.000073 0.000135 0.000255 0.000483 0.000962
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000039 0.000071 0.000135 0.000260 0.000502 0.001024
2026-04-26 0.000020 0.000038 0.000070 0.000135 0.000265 0.000523 0.001092
2026-05-03 0.000019 0.000036 0.000068 0.000132 0.000266 0.000535 0.001142
2026-05-10 0.000018 0.000034 0.000066 0.000132 0.000269 0.000553 0.001205
2026-05-17 0.000017 0.000033 0.000065 0.000132 0.000274 0.000575 0.001281